Bitcoin (BTC) - Key Support Level Remains Intact

Bitcoin (BTC) - Key Support Level Remains Intact

Last week’s focus was on the US labor market report and its potential impact on Bitcoin and the broader market. The debate remains unresolved, which, in a way, could be a positive sign—if the debate were settled, it might indicate we’re in a precarious situation aiming for a major decline!

For now, the market is relatively stable. Referring to last week’s analysis on Bitcoin, we considered the possibility of reaching $53.5k while maintaining a bullish outlook. The market has hit that level with a notable reaction (particularly on Monday), so we remain cautiously optimistic for the remainder of September.

Key Considerations:

  • Support Level: If this $53.5k level turns out to be the low, it aligns perfectly with a retest of the August wick. This level represents a strong buying opportunity while still maintaining a bullish bias.
Key Level Retest - Last Important Support
  • Bullish Momentum: A recovery to $58k would signal increased confidence. Although the market may fluctuate around these levels before the FOMC meeting, this is the key level to watch for signs of immediate strength.
First signs of strength above $58k
  • Momentum Ignition: Movement above $70k would indicate a significant shift. While this is a distant target, it’s crucial to monitor if considering swing trades.
  • Consolidation Patterns: Anything below $70k will be viewed as consolidation within consolidation. Expect significant whipsaw moves between $55k and $65k throughout September, which historically tends to be a slow month for markets. Our primary goal is for the price to stay above $53.5k.
Slow Month For Bitcoin

Summary:

Keep things straightforward. If you entered at $53.5k, hold your position until either invalidation or new highs are achieved. September tends to be a slow month with Bitcoin’s best performance historically capped at 6%. Manage your expectations accordingly, and as long as the price remains above the key $53.5k level, there’s room for optimism for this final quarter.